What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 68¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.10.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 70% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 68%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Fitness Centers Ad Spend on Kalshi

If the Carbon Arc Fitness Centers Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 233 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Carbon Arc.

Market says (typical open contract)

68%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

63% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
69¢ (now)	1.5¢	$1.09	70.5%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 108 ? · Above 108	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	2,636	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 164 ? · Above 164	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	48%	2,359	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 86.5 ? · Above 86.5	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	1,964	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 100.5 ? · Above 100.5	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	1,465	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 115.5 ? · Above 115.5	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	46%	506	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 123 ? · Above 123	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	59%	247	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 233 ? · Above 233	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 210 ? · Above 210	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 187 ? · Above 187	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 141 ? · Above 141	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Fitness Centers Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 131 ? · Above 131	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	63%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.