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Jurisdictions dropping Flock Safety on Kalshi
If Atlanta, Georgia ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Associated Press.
Market says (typical open contract)
59%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
82% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 59¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.44 | 60.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Atlanta, Georgia ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras before Feb 1, 2027? · Atlanta, GA | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 695 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by a Source Agency that New Bedford, Massachusetts ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras before Feb 1, 2027? · New Bedford, MA | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 560 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Boulder, Colorado ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras before Feb 1, 2027? · Boulder, CO | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 325 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Richmond, California ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras before Feb 1, 2027? · Richmond, CA | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 146 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by a Source Agency that Binghamton, New York ends its use of Flock Safety license plate reader cameras before Feb 1, 2027? · Binghamton, NY | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 86 | Feb 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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