Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
Game Awards Best Game Direction on Kalshi
If Forza Horizon 6 has won Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Game Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saros win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Saros | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,604 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Grand Theft Auto VI | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 2,124 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Control Resonant win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Control Resonant | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,785 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Tie | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 689 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Crimson Desert win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Crimson Desert | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 638 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Resident Evil Requiem | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 582 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pragmata win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Pragmata | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 392 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marvel's Wolverine win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Marvel's Wolverine | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 104 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Phantom Blade Zero win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Phantom Blade Zero | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 11 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Forza Horizon 6 win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Forza Horizon 6 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Onimusha: Way of the Sword win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Onimusha: Way of the Sword | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Big Walk win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Big Walk | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will 007 First Light win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · 007 First Light | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mewgenics win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · Mewgenics | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction? · The Blood of Dawnwalker | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.