What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 100¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.02.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 100% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 100%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Larger margin: Graham vs. Donalds on Kalshi

If Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election minus Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: State Election Commission, Columbia, SC, Division of Elections, Office of the Secretary of State, Tallahassee, FL.

Market says (typical open contract)

100%

Median YES price across 2 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
99¢ (now)	0.1¢	$0.04	99.1%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election? · Byron Donalds	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	19,819	Dec 07, 14:59 UTC
Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election? · Darline Graham	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	18,877	Dec 07, 14:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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