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Grammy nominees for New Artist of the Year on Kalshi
If Underscores has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Recording Academy.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 77 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ella Langley | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 17,230 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ravyn Lenae | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 13,836 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · SIENNA SPIRO | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 13,248 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Geese | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 6,597 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · EsDeeKid | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5,263 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Don Toliver | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 2,727 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Dominic Fike | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,690 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Jessie Murph | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 2,612 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Adéla | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 2,036 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Megan Moroney | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,725 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Slayyyter | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1,709 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Audrey Hobert | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,685 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Zara Larsson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,660 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Renee Rapp | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,600 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Dijon | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,496 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Bella Kay | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 1,329 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Role Model | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 1,256 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · BigXthaPlug | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,192 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · JADE | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 949 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Oklou | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 586 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · CMAT | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 427 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · SAILORR | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 337 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · The Last Dinner Party | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 327 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Malcolm Todd | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 326 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · The Beaches | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 324 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Absolutely | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 301 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ninajirachi | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 288 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Loe Shimmy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 228 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Jordan Ward | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 216 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Mk.gee | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 196 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ken Carson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 167 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Sasha Keable | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 114 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · PARTYOF2 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 62 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Magdalena Bay | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 56 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Yazmin Lacey | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 47 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Model/Actriz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 35 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Stella Lefty | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 31 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Sudan Archives | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 24 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Nami | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 22 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Wednesday | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 18 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 77 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.