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Grammy nominees for Song of the Year on Kalshi

If Risk It All has been nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Recording Academy.

Market says (typical open contract)
7%
Median YES price across 31 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
7¢ (now)0.5¢$3.257.5%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · The Fate of Ophelia2¢2%0.1¢—3%35,636Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · I Knew It, I Knew You86¢86%0.9¢—29%13,266Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · hate that i made you love me70¢70%1.5¢—60%7,897Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · I Just Might2¢2%0.2¢—5%7,231Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!86¢86%0.8¢—28%6,060Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · drop dead2¢2%0.1¢—3%5,234Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Choosin' Texas85¢85%0.9¢—30%4,773Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · the cure86¢86%0.9¢—29%4,668Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Aperture24¢24%1.3¢—49%2,718Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Man I Need90¢90%0.6¢—19%2,636Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · So Easy (To Fall In Love)2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,749Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Berghain50¢50%1.7¢—99%1,688Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · The Great Divide41¢41%1.7¢—82%696Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Risk It All82¢82%1.0¢—35%647Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Die On This Hill60¢60%1.7¢—80%377Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Dracula (with JENNIE)38¢38%1.6¢—75%283Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · E858¢8%0.5¢—17%218Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Lost Boys16¢16%0.9¢—32%76Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Hit the Wall6¢6%0.4¢—13%29Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Dai Dai6¢6%0.4¢—13%6Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Everything Hallelujah6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · White Feather Hawk Tail Deer Hunter6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · RUNWAY6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · girl, get up.6¢6%0.4¢—11%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Zoo6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Chanel6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Bring Your Love48¢48%1.7¢—95%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Babydoll4¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Oh Yeah?6¢6%0.4¢—12%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Boston6¢6%0.4¢—13%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Song of the Year? · Iloveitiloveitiloveit7¢7%0.5¢—14%0Nov 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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