What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 6¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.31.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 6% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 6%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Who will Trump nominate as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? on Kalshi

If John Kiriakou is nominated by the President to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Library of Congress, the White House.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

11% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)	0.4¢	$3.29	6.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Trump nominate Nicole Malliotakis as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Nicole Malliotakis	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	645	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate John Catsimatidis as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · John Catsimatidis	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	474	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate John Kiriakou as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · John Kiriakou	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	351	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Debbie Matenopoulos as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Debbie Matenopoulos	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	285	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Michael Psaros as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Michael Psaros	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	229	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Josh Huck as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Josh Huck	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	229	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Dean Spanos as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Dean Spanos	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	229	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Geoffrey Pyatt as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Geoffrey Pyatt	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	223	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Gus Bilirakis as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · Gus Bilirakis	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	40%	128	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate John Georges as U.S. Ambassador to Greece? · John Georges	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	13%	112	Jan 20, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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