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CFL Grey Cup on Kalshi
If the Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the 2026 CFL Grey Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports, AP.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will British Columbia Lions win the CFL Grey Cup? · British Columbia Lions | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,824 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Montreal Alouettes win the CFL Grey Cup? · Montreal Alouettes | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 5,671 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Winnipeg Blue Bombers win the CFL Grey Cup? · Winnipeg Blue Bombers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,306 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Edmonton Elks win the CFL Grey Cup? · Edmonton Elks | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 2,185 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Saskatchewan Roughriders win the CFL Grey Cup? · Saskatchewan Roughriders | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,350 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Hamilton Tiger-Cats win the CFL Grey Cup? · Hamilton Tiger-Cats | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 482 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Calgary Stampeders win the CFL Grey Cup? · Calgary Stampeders | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 453 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Ottawa Redblacks win the CFL Grey Cup? · Ottawa Redblacks | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 370 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto Argonauts win the CFL Grey Cup? · Toronto Argonauts | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 211 | Nov 30, 01:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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