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What songs will be on GTA 6? on Kalshi
If XO Tour Llif3 is playable on at least one in-game radio station in Grand Theft Auto VI at launch, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kotaku, Rockstar Games.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
37% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Sicko Mode | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 15,457 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Blinding Lights | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 14,990 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Pepas | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 13,452 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Bad and Boujee | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 9,492 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Despacito | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 7,055 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Mask Off | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 7,053 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Rockstar | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 6,158 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Look at Me! | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 5,082 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · God’s Plan | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 4,230 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Mo Bamba | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 4,142 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · As It Was | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 3,973 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Stay | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 2,513 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · XO Tour Llif3 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 2,348 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| What songs will be on the GTA 6 radio at launch? · Shape of You | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 2,213 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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