Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Heisman Trophy Winner on Kalshi
If DeSean Bishop wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 51 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Malachi Toney | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,264,881 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jeremiah Smith | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 2,956,794 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Darian Mensah | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 2,540,815 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Trinidad Chambliss | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,245,012 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Keelon Russell | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,975,417 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kamario Taylor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,871,507 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · CJ Carr | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 1,791,113 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Devon Dampier | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,759,199 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Sam Leavitt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,684,608 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bear Bachmeier | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,610,074 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Drew Mestemaker | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,578,841 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Arch Manning | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,524,162 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jadan Baugh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,458,090 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Gunner Stockton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,342,176 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jayden Maiava | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,274,338 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · LaNorris Sellers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,245,485 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kevin Jennings | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,184,293 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Julian Sayin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,154,854 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Josh Hoover | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,121,793 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Dante Moore | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 964,362 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · John Mateer | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 899,071 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Faizon Brandon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 753,847 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jesse Legree | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 748,617 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Lincoln Kienholz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 717,710 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Rocco Becht | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 534,989 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Conner Weigman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 499,141 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Marcel Reed | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 425,507 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bryce Underwood | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 419,503 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 393,060 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Byrum Brown | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 355,143 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Austin Simmons | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 305,387 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kewan Lacy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 248,575 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Ahmad Hardy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 221,424 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Brendan Sorsby | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 211,198 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Wayne Knight | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 158,031 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Will Hammond | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 148,281 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Demond Williams Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 121,771 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bo Jackson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 85,350 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Anthony Colandrea | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 73,076 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Colin Simmons | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70,302 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 51 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.