What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.73.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Intel KPI on Kalshi

If Intel Corporation reports Above 72000 headcount in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
51¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.72	52.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Intel Corporation report Above 78 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 78 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	4,747	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 81 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 81 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	1,080	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 77 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 77 thousand	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	83%	506	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 75 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 75 thousand	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	91%	144	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 83 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 83 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	100	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 72 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 72 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 73 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 73 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 74 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 74 thousand	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 82 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 82 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 80 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 80 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 79 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 79 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Intel Corporation report Above 76 thousand headcount in Q1 2027? · Above 76 thousand	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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