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IPL Winner on Kalshi
If Sunrisers Hyderabad is the 2027 Indian Premier League Cricket Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Cricbuzz, ESPNcricinfo, ICC, IPL, ESPN, BBC Sport.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
17% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Punjab Kings win the IPL? · Punjab Kings | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 2,638 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the IPL? · Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 2,621 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the IPL? · Sunrisers Hyderabad | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,435 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chennai Super Kings win the IPL? · Chennai Super Kings | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,306 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Gujarat Titans win the IPL? · Gujarat Titans | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,300 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the IPL? · Kolkata Knight Riders | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 1,249 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mumbai Indians win the IPL? · Mumbai Indians | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,158 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rajasthan Royals win the IPL? · Rajasthan Royals | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,124 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Delhi Capitals win the IPL? · Delhi Capitals | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 925 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lucknow Super Giants win the IPL? · Lucknow Super Giants | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 294 | Jun 20, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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