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Who will be Israeli health minister after the election? on Kalshi
If Yitzhak Pindrus formally takes office as Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the New York Times, Deutsche Welle, MS Now, ABC, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, CNBC, Al Jazeera, CBS, NBC, The Washington Post, CNN, ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, Reuters, BBC.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yitzhak Pindrus be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yitzhak Pindrus | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yitzhak Goldknopf be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yitzhak Goldknopf | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yaakov Asher be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yaakov Asher | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Uriel Buso be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Uriel Buso | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tair Ifergan be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Tair Ifergan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Oded Forer be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Oded Forer | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Michal Rozin be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Michal Rozin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Meirav Cohen be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Meirav Cohen | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Meirav Ben-Ari be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Meirav Ben-Ari | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Haim Katz be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Haim Katz | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Efrat Rayten be Minister of Health as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Efrat Rayten | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Oct 27, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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