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ITF Doubles Match on Kalshi
If Heck / Young wins the Hamill / Meyers vs Heck / Young professional tennis match in the 2026 M25 Columbus OH Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, ITF, Fox Sports, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 126 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bult / Wright wins · Bult / Wright | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 2,355 | Nov 24, 02:30 UTC |
| Quoc Cuong / Phat Nguyen wins · Quoc Cuong / Phat Nguyen | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 972 | Nov 24, 02:30 UTC |
| Aleksandar Amarandei / Fiorentini wins · Aleksandar Amarandei / Fiorentini | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 922 | Nov 24, 11:00 UTC |
| La Vela / Marino wins · La Vela / Marino | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 788 | Nov 24, 12:00 UTC |
| Naharro / Pujol Navarro wins · Naharro / Pujol Navarro | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 647 | Nov 24, 14:30 UTC |
| Abderrahman / van Wyk wins · Abderrahman / van Wyk | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 506 | Nov 24, 10:30 UTC |
| Sukjai / Sukjai wins · Sukjai / Sukjai | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 425 | Nov 24, 07:00 UTC |
| Belozertsev / Schell wins · Belozertsev / Schell | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 414 | Nov 24, 10:30 UTC |
| Nakamura / Srirat wins · Nakamura / Srirat | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 400 | Nov 24, 05:30 UTC |
| Rifqi Fitriadi / Sarksian wins · Rifqi Fitriadi / Sarksian | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 216 | Nov 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Adibi Rahiman / Farhanuddin Fariz wins · Adibi Rahiman / Farhanuddin Fariz | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 108 | Nov 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Camara / Sajjid Koothrat wins · Camara / Sajjid Koothrat | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 38 | Nov 24, 14:30 UTC |
| Gabelic / Huggins wins · Gabelic / Huggins | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 30 | Nov 24, 10:30 UTC |
| Gannon / Taguchi wins · Gannon / Taguchi | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 27 | Nov 24, 12:00 UTC |
| Campbell / Kalaitzis wins · Campbell / Kalaitzis | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 27 | Nov 24, 12:00 UTC |
| Massucco / Mecarelli wins · Massucco / Mecarelli | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 19 | Nov 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Bunyarit / Kamput wins · Bunyarit / Kamput | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 17 | Nov 24, 07:00 UTC |
| Alharrasi / Shanan Zayed wins · Alharrasi / Shanan Zayed | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 14 | Nov 24, 10:30 UTC |
| Condorelli / Frost wins · Condorelli / Frost | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 9 | Nov 24, 14:00 UTC |
| Blando / Blando wins · Blando / Blando | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 6 | Nov 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Potenza / Tabacco wins · Potenza / Tabacco | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 4 | Nov 24, 12:00 UTC |
| Eichenseher / Mueller wins · Eichenseher / Mueller | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 3 | Nov 24, 05:00 UTC |
| Malaszszak / Fu Wong wins · Malaszszak / Fu Wong | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 2 | Nov 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Kamath / Suresh wins · Kamath / Suresh | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Heck / Young wins · Heck / Young | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 24, 19:00 UTC |
| Hamill / Meyers wins · Hamill / Meyers | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 24, 19:00 UTC |
| Bruna / Dellien wins · Bruna / Dellien | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Aguilar Cardozo / Del Pino wins · Aguilar Cardozo / Del Pino | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Perlov / Ratti wins · Perlov / Ratti | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| David Cassan / Sabina wins · David Cassan / Sabina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Cigarran / Farjat wins · Cigarran / Farjat | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Agustin Pernas / Ariel Vazquez wins · Agustin Pernas / Ariel Vazquez | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Lapalme / Roussel wins · Lapalme / Roussel | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Brostrom Poulsen / Slavic wins · Brostrom Poulsen / Slavic | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Nobel / St-Hilaire wins · Nobel / St-Hilaire | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Dean / Tripathi wins · Dean / Tripathi | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| De Jonge / Opitz wins · De Jonge / Opitz | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Arseneault / Horwood wins · Arseneault / Horwood | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Rybakov / Vance wins · Rybakov / Vance | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
| Kuhar / Roh wins · Kuhar / Roh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 18:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 126 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.