What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.75.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 52% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

ITF Women's Doubles Match on Kalshi

If Hu / Lahey wins the Hu / Lahey vs Alicea / Snells professional tennis match in the 2026 W35 Weston FL Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, ITF, Fox Sports, Flashscore.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 88 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

100% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢ (now)	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Ivanovic / Smart wins · Ivanovic / Smart	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	90%	1,185	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
De Baene / Djafari wins · De Baene / Djafari	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	819	Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
Miron / Nicoleta Todoni wins · Miron / Nicoleta Todoni	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	790	Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
Pochtovyk / Sagmar wins · Pochtovyk / Sagmar	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	592	Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
Li / Zhang wins · Li / Zhang	31¢	31%	1.5¢	—	61%	576	Nov 24, 07:00 UTC
Benesova / Velits wins · Benesova / Velits	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	389	Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
Arystanbekova / Yesypchuk wins · Arystanbekova / Yesypchuk	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	97%	362	Nov 24, 10:30 UTC
Kaegi / Wahler wins · Kaegi / Wahler	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	186	Nov 24, 10:30 UTC
Negishi / Jagatdeo Verma wins · Negishi / Jagatdeo Verma	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	91%	181	Nov 24, 10:30 UTC
Gomez O'Hayon / Solar Donoso wins · Gomez O'Hayon / Solar Donoso	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	41%	172	Nov 24, 10:30 UTC
Pankratova / Varaksina wins · Pankratova / Varaksina	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	20	Nov 24, 05:30 UTC
Elkady / Nosei wins · Elkady / Nosei	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	3	Nov 24, 10:00 UTC
Gomes Ferreira / Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa wins · Gomes Ferreira / Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	2	Nov 24, 17:30 UTC
Argyrokastriti / Cortez Llorca wins · Argyrokastriti / Cortez Llorca	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	41%	1	Nov 24, 12:00 UTC
Im / Shin wins · Im / Shin	88¢	88%	0.8¢	—	25%	1	Nov 24, 05:30 UTC
Hu / Lahey wins · Hu / Lahey	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Alicea / Snells wins · Alicea / Snells	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Evtimova / Harding wins · Evtimova / Harding	38¢	38%	1.6¢	—	76%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Allen / Reami wins · Allen / Reami	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	35%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Eisch / Eisch wins · Eisch / Eisch	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Black / Jauffret wins · Black / Jauffret	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	15%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Pulchartova / Tahiri wins · Pulchartova / Tahiri	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Martinez / Reed wins · Martinez / Reed	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Tiemi Sakada da Costa / Santos wins · Tiemi Sakada da Costa / Santos	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Kawano Cho / Meabe wins · Kawano Cho / Meabe	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 19:00 UTC
Hossam Salah / Korpanec Davies wins · Hossam Salah / Korpanec Davies	54¢	54%	1.7¢	—	92%	0	Nov 24, 18:00 UTC
Bohrer Martins / Ccuno wins · Bohrer Martins / Ccuno	68¢	68%	1.5¢	—	65%	0	Nov 24, 18:00 UTC
Maia Citolino / de Jesus Ribeiro Silveira wins · Maia Citolino / de Jesus Ribeiro Silveira	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 17:30 UTC
Konishi Camargo Silva / Souza wins · Konishi Camargo Silva / Souza	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 17:30 UTC
Bernardes / Rosa Dourado wins · Bernardes / Rosa Dourado	62¢	62%	1.6¢	—	76%	0	Nov 24, 17:30 UTC
Sedenkova / Shmeleva wins · Sedenkova / Shmeleva	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	0	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
Snigireva / Ziatdinova wins · Snigireva / Ziatdinova	30¢	30%	1.5¢	—	61%	0	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
Dmitrichenko / Kurt wins · Dmitrichenko / Kurt	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
Janssen / Lopez wins · Janssen / Lopez	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	0	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
Alhussein Abdel Aziz / Samir wins · Alhussein Abdel Aziz / Samir	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Nov 24, 14:30 UTC
Cabassers Morros / Cabassers Morros wins · Cabassers Morros / Cabassers Morros	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	0	Nov 24, 14:00 UTC
Adrover Gallego / Sagrista Bermejo wins · Adrover Gallego / Sagrista Bermejo	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	36%	0	Nov 24, 14:00 UTC
Paula Bastos-Sousa Betanzos / Trujillo Garnica wins · Paula Bastos-Sousa Betanzos / Trujillo Garnica	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 24, 14:00 UTC
Iankovskaia / Toma wins · Iankovskaia / Toma	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	0	Nov 24, 14:00 UTC
Brunet-Brady / Dournes wins · Brunet-Brady / Dournes	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 24, 13:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 88 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.