What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 35¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.28.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 37% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 35%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Korea K League Winner on Kalshi

If Ulsan HD is the 2026 Korea K League 1 champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

35%

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

70% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
35¢ (now)	1.6¢	$2.28	36.6%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Seoul win the Korea K League 1? · Seoul	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	96%	884	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeonbuk win the Korea K League 1? · Jeonbuk	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	117	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Gangwon win the Korea K League 1? · Gangwon	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	117	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Ulsan HD win the Korea K League 1? · Ulsan HD	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Pohang Steelers win the Korea K League 1? · Pohang Steelers	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeju SK win the Korea K League 1? · Jeju SK	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Incheon Utd win the Korea K League 1? · Incheon Utd	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Gwangju win the Korea K League 1? · Gwangju	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Gimcheon Sangmu win the Korea K League 1? · Gimcheon Sangmu	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Daejeon Citizen win the Korea K League 1? · Daejeon Citizen	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will Bucheon win the Korea K League 1? · Bucheon	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC
Will FC Anyang win the Korea K League 1? · FC Anyang	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 15, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.