Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Kolkata Municipal Corporation election winner on Kalshi
If Ritabrata Trinamool wins the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: West Bengal State Election Commission.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BJP win the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election? · BJP | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 110 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ritabrata Trinamool win the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election? · Ritabrata Trinamool | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mamata Trinamool win the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election? · Mamata Trinamool | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Congress win the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election? · Congress | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CPM win the most wards in the next Kolkata Municipal Corporation election? · CPM | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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