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Klaviyo quarter kpi on Kalshi
If Klaviyo Inc. reports Above 6000 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
29%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
57% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.49 | 30.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 6000 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 6000 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5600 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5600 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5500 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5500 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5400 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5400 | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5300 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5300 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5200 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5200 | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Klaviyo Inc. report Above 5000 customers with over $50k arr in Q1 2027? · Above 5000 | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Sep 01, 20:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.