Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Team Points on Kalshi
If Villarreal reaches at least 75 points in the 2026-27 La Liga season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 80 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elche finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Elche: 40+ Points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 118 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elche finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Elche: 45+ Points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 115 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elche finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 35+ points? · Elche: 35+ Points | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 102 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 85+ points? · Barcelona: 85+ Points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 35 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Athletic Bilbao finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Athletic Bilbao: 45+ Points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 22 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 90+ points? · Real Madrid: 90+ Points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 11 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 65+ points? · Atletico Madrid: 65+ Points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 11 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo De La Coruna finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Deportivo De La Coruna: 45+ Points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 11 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo De La Coruna finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 30+ points? · Deportivo De La Coruna: 30+ Points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 10 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alaves finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 35+ points? · Alaves: 35+ Points | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 10 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Valencia: 40+ Points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 6 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 85+ points? · Real Madrid: 85+ Points | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 6 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 90+ points? · Barcelona: 90+ Points | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 4 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 75+ points? · Villarreal: 75+ Points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 70+ points? · Villarreal: 70+ Points | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 65+ points? · Villarreal: 65+ Points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 60+ points? · Villarreal: 60+ Points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 55+ points? · Valencia: 55+ Points | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 50+ points? · Valencia: 50+ Points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Valencia: 45+ Points | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 55+ points? · Sevilla: 55+ Points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 50+ points? · Sevilla: 50+ Points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Sevilla: 45+ Points | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Sevilla: 40+ Points | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Racing Santander: 40+ Points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 35+ points? · Racing Santander: 35+ Points | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 30+ points? · Racing Santander: 30+ Points | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 25+ points? · Racing Santander: 25+ Points | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 55+ points? · Rayo Vallecano: 55+ Points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 50+ points? · Rayo Vallecano: 50+ Points | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Rayo Vallecano: 45+ Points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Rayo Vallecano: 40+ Points | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 55+ points? · Real Sociedad: 55+ Points | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 50+ points? · Real Sociedad: 50+ Points | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 45+ points? · Real Sociedad: 45+ Points | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 40+ points? · Real Sociedad: 40+ Points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 95+ points? · Real Madrid: 95+ Points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 80+ points? · Real Madrid: 80+ Points | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 60+ points? · Celta Vigo: 60+ Points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo finish the 2026-27 La Liga season with 55+ points? · Celta Vigo: 55+ Points | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 80 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.