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La Liga Top Finishers on Kalshi
If Villarreal is a top 6 finisher in the 2026-27 La Liga season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Villarreal | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 1,064 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Athletic Bilbao | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 595 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Betis finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Betis | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 304 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Athletic Bilbao | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 220 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Atletico Madrid | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 215 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Barcelona | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 111 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Sevilla | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 109 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Real Madrid | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 45 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Atletico Madrid | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 24 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Real Madrid | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 20 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Barcelona | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 14 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Real Sociedad | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 6 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Sevilla | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 4 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alaves finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Alaves | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Villarreal | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Valencia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Racing Santander | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Rayo Vallecano | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Real Sociedad | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Celta Vigo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Betis finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Betis | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Osasuna finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Osasuna | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Malaga finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Malaga | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Levante finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Levante | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Getafe finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Getafe | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Espanyol finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Espanyol | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elche finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Elche | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo De La Coruna finish in the top 6 in the La Liga season? · Deportivo De La Coruna | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Valencia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Racing Santander | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Rayo Vallecano | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Celta Vigo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Osasuna finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Osasuna | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Malaga finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Malaga | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Levante finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Levante | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Getafe finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Getafe | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Espanyol | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elche finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Elche | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo De La Coruna finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Deportivo De La Coruna | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alaves finish in the top 4 in the La Liga season? · Alaves | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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