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NFL leader interceptions on Kalshi
If Xavier McKinney leads Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 34 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamel Dean lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jamel Dean | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,313 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quinyon Mitchell lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Quinyon Mitchell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,186 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred Warner lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Fred Warner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,000 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Antoine Winfield Jr. lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Antoine Winfield Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,000 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaycee Horn lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jaycee Horn | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,953 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jalen Pitre lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jalen Pitre | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,355 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sauce Gardner lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Sauce Gardner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,041 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Devin Lloyd lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Devin Lloyd | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 910 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derek Stingley Jr. lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Derek Stingley Jr. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 899 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Xavier Watts lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Xavier Watts | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 846 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jessie Bates III lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jessie Bates III | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 738 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Hamilton lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Kyle Hamilton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 628 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Branch lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Brian Branch | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 386 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian Gonzalez lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Christian Gonzalez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 340 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trent McDuffie lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Trent McDuffie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 324 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pat Surtain II lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Pat Surtain II | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 202 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kerby Joseph lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Kerby Joseph | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 195 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Byard III lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Kevin Byard III | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 178 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Marlon Humphrey lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Marlon Humphrey | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 166 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Deommodore Lenoir lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Deommodore Lenoir | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 64 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Derwin James Jr. lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Derwin James Jr. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 60 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ernest Jones IV lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Ernest Jones IV | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 59 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A.J. Terrell Jr. lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · A.J. Terrell Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minkah Fitzpatrick lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Minkah Fitzpatrick | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 43 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Anzalone lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Alex Anzalone | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amani Hooker lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Amani Hooker | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Xavier McKinney lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Xavier McKinney | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Renardo Green lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Renardo Green | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quentin Lake lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Quentin Lake | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan Battle lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jordan Battle | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jevon Holland lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jevon Holland | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Hezekiah Masses lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Hezekiah Masses | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denzel Ward lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Denzel Ward | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Byron Murphy Jr. lead Pro Football in Interceptions for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Byron Murphy Jr. | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 11 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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