What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 64¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.26.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 66% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 64%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Will Schumer, Jeffries and Thune all be reelected leaders? on Kalshi

If Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries and John Thune are each elected by their party caucus or conference as its leader in their chamber for the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ABC, Fox News, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, CBS, NBC, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, Semafor, MSNBC, the Associated Press, Politico, the New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

64%

Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

72% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
64¢ (now)	1.6¢	$1.26	65.6%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries and John Thune all be reelected as their parties' leaders for the 120th Congress? · Yes	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	72%	0	Jan 15, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.