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Liga MX Leader on Kalshi
If Uros Djurdjevic leads Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paulinho lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Paulinho | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,118 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Julian Carranza lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Julian Carranza | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 478 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Lucas Ocampos lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Lucas Ocampos | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 355 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Salomon Rondon lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Salomon Rondon | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 352 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Rodriguez lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Brian Rodriguez | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 316 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Armando Gonzalez lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Armando Gonzalez | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 275 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Uros Djurdjevic lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Uros Djurdjevic | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Santiago Homenchenko lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Santiago Homenchenko | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Rafa Llorente lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Rafa Llorente | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Roberto Alvarado lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Roberto Alvarado | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Oscar Estupinan lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Oscar Estupinan | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Mourad El Ghezouani lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Mourad El Ghezouani | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Juninho lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Juninho | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Marquez lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Jeremy Marquez | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Eugenio Pizzuto lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Eugenio Pizzuto | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Ali Avila lead Liga MX in goals for the 2026 Apertura season? · Ali Avila | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Jan 08, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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