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Russia Liga Pro Match on Kalshi
If Surikov Viacheslav wins the Mukhamedzhanov Mikhail vs Surikov Viacheslav men's professional Russia Liga Pro table tennis match originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 10:30 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Russia Liga Pro.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 136 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpovkin Gennadiy wins · Karpovkin Gennadiy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1 | Nov 12, 05:15 UTC |
| Surikov Viacheslav wins · Surikov Viacheslav | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:30 UTC |
| Mukhamedzhanov Mikhail wins · Mukhamedzhanov Mikhail | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:30 UTC |
| Tunitsyn Dmitrii wins · Tunitsyn Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:15 UTC |
| Gribkov Aleksandr wins · Gribkov Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:15 UTC |
| KHarlamov Dmitrii wins · KHarlamov Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:15 UTC |
| Alekseev Aleksandr wins · Alekseev Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:15 UTC |
| Tsybulskii Vladimir wins · Tsybulskii Vladimir | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Khaperskii Iurii wins · Khaperskii Iurii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Nosov Andrei wins · Nosov Andrei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Murzakmatov Ernist wins · Murzakmatov Ernist | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Karabanov Egor wins · Karabanov Egor | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:45 UTC |
| Andreev Buianto wins · Andreev Buianto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:45 UTC |
| Rudenko Vasiliy wins · Rudenko Vasiliy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:45 UTC |
| Danilov Oleg wins · Danilov Oleg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:45 UTC |
| Narzukov Dmitrii wins · Narzukov Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Kolmin Aleksandr wins · Kolmin Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Surikov Viacheslav wins · Surikov Viacheslav | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Murzakmatov Ernist wins · Murzakmatov Ernist | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:30 UTC |
| Tunitsyn Dmitrii wins · Tunitsyn Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:15 UTC |
| Andreev Buianto wins · Andreev Buianto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:15 UTC |
| Rudenko Vasiliy wins · Rudenko Vasiliy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:15 UTC |
| Alekseev Aleksandr wins · Alekseev Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:15 UTC |
| Tsybulskii Vladimir wins · Tsybulskii Vladimir | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| Narzukov Dmitrii wins · Narzukov Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| Nosov Andrei wins · Nosov Andrei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| Mukhamedzhanov Mikhail wins · Mukhamedzhanov Mikhail | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 14:00 UTC |
| Karabanov Egor wins · Karabanov Egor | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:45 UTC |
| Gribkov Aleksandr wins · Gribkov Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:45 UTC |
| KHarlamov Dmitrii wins · KHarlamov Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:45 UTC |
| Danilov Oleg wins · Danilov Oleg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:45 UTC |
| Kolmin Aleksandr wins · Kolmin Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:30 UTC |
| Khaperskii Iurii wins · Khaperskii Iurii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:30 UTC |
| Surikov Viacheslav wins · Surikov Viacheslav | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:30 UTC |
| Nosov Andrei wins · Nosov Andrei | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:30 UTC |
| Tunitsyn Dmitrii wins · Tunitsyn Dmitrii | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:15 UTC |
| Karabanov Egor wins · Karabanov Egor | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:15 UTC |
| Danilov Oleg wins · Danilov Oleg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:15 UTC |
| Alekseev Aleksandr wins · Alekseev Aleksandr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:15 UTC |
| Tsybulskii Vladimir wins · Tsybulskii Vladimir | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 136 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.