What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 1¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.47.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 1%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

LIGUE 1 on Kalshi

If Toulouse is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

2% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Monaco	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	21,006	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will PSG win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · PSG	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	23%	18,205	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Lyon	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	4,894	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Lille	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	4,265	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Lens	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,516	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Paris win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Paris	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,398	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Troyes	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,333	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Stade Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Stade Rennes	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,533	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Marseille	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,366	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Strasbourg Alsace win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Strasbourg Alsace	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	676	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Le Havre	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	100	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Toulouse	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	99	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Nice	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	84	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Le Mans	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	15	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Lorient	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Stade Brest 29 win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Stade Brest 29	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Auxerre	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? · Angers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Jun 13, 02:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.