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Liiga Champion on Kalshi
If Vaasan Sport wins the Finland Liiga hockey championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Liiga, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland Liiga Champion: Tampereen Ilves · Tampereen Ilves | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 136 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Tappara Tampere · Tappara Tampere | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 130 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Vaasan Sport · Vaasan Sport | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: TPS Turku · TPS Turku | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: SaiPa Lappeenranta · SaiPa Lappeenranta | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Porin Assat · Porin Assat | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Oulun Karpat · Oulun Karpat | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Mikkelin Jukurit · Mikkelin Jukurit | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Lukko Rauma · Lukko Rauma | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Lahti Pelicans · Lahti Pelicans | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: KooKoo Kouvola · KooKoo Kouvola | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Kiekko-Espoo · Kiekko-Espoo | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: KalPa Kuopio · KalPa Kuopio | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: JYP Jyvaskyla · JYP Jyvaskyla | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: Jokerit Helsinki · Jokerit Helsinki | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: HPK Hameenlinna · HPK Hameenlinna | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Finland Liiga Champion: HIFK Helsinki · HIFK Helsinki | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Aug 01, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.