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Ljubljana mayoral election winner on Kalshi
If Zoran Janković wins the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: State Election Commission of Slovenia.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Mihael Jarc | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,135 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Aleksandar Repić | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,580 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Gregor Novak | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,144 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Aleš Primc | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,556 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Apolonija Simon win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Apolonija Simon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,062 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Jasmin Feratović | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,154 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Zoran Janković | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 5,933 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Luka Mesec | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2,736 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Anton Rop | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,677 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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