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Men's College Basketball Tournament Seeds on Kalshi
If the Youngstown St. men's college basketball team is selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 444 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marquette be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Marquette | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 685 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vanderbilt be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Vanderbilt | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 141 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Florida St. be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Florida St. | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 128 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kentucky be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Kentucky | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 123 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Mary's be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Saint Mary's | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 115 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · West Virginia | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 113 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech be selected as a top 3 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Texas Tech | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 113 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Gonzaga be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Gonzaga | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 69 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Kansas | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 68 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 59 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · West Virginia | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 54 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will St. John's be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · St. John's | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 44 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Virginia be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Virginia | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 38 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Iowa | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 38 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas be selected as a top 3 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Kansas | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 37 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Villanova be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Villanova | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 36 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Missouri | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 27 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Michigan | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 19 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will North Carolina be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · North Carolina | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 16 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Baylor | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 15 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Illinois be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Illinois | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 10 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Indiana | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 10 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Memphis | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will UConn be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · UConn | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 5 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Indiana | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 5 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Tennessee | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 4 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Missouri | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 4 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Arkansas | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 2 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Notre Dame be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Notre Dame | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Florida be selected as a top 3 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Florida | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Duke be selected as a top 4 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Duke | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Notre Dame be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Notre Dame | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss be selected as a top 5 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Ole Miss | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Youngstown St. be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Youngstown St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yale be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Yale | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Xavier be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Xavier | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · West Virginia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Wofford be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Wofford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Western Kentucky be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Western Kentucky | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin be selected as a top 2 seed in the 2027 Division I Men's College Basketball Tournament? · Wisconsin | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | May 02, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 444 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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