What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 7¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.25.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 7% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 7%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Which meetings will occur? on Kalshi

If Xi Jinping and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Deutsche Welle, The White House, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, CNBC, New York Times, POLITICO, NBC, CBS News, BBC, ABC News, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Financial Times, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera English, MSNBC.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

14% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
7¢ (now)	0.5¢	$3.25	7.5%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Takaichi and Xi meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Takaichi and Xi	82¢	82%	1.1¢	—	37%	1,812	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Lula and Milei meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Lula and Milei	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	1,801	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Putin and Carney meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Putin and Carney	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	206	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Xi and Zelenskyy meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Xi and Zelenskyy	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Takaichi and Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Takaichi and Putin	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Takaichi and Kim Jong Un meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Takaichi and Kim Jong Un	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Netanyahu and al-Sharaa meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Netanyahu and al-Sharaa	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Netanyahu and MBS meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Netanyahu and MBS	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Netanyahu and Erdoğan meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Netanyahu and Erdoğan	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Modi and Sharif meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Modi and Sharif	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Lee Jae Myung and Kim Jong Un meet before Jan 1, 2027? · Lee Jae Myung and Kim Jong Un	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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