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Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 80.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 91 ? · Above 91 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 8,670 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 94.5 ? · Above 94.5 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 4,294 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 92 ? · Above 92 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1,522 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 89.5 ? · Above 89.5 | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 630 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 93 ? · Above 93 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 600 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 82 ? · Above 82 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 582 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 80.5 ? · Above 80.5 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 500 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 85 ? · Above 85 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 475 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 93.5 ? · Above 93.5 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 473 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 88 ? · Above 88 | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 320 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 86.5 ? · Above 86.5 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 147 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 83.5 ? · Above 83.5 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 97.5 ? · Above 97.5 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 95.5 ? · Above 95.5 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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