What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron on Kalshi

If Zach Neto wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 41 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Yordan Álvarez win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Yordan Álvarez	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	20,004	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aaron Judge win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Aaron Judge	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	5,885	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Junior Caminero win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Junior Caminero	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,904	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ben Rice win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Ben Rice	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,478	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cal Raleigh win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Cal Raleigh	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,471	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Kurtz win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Nick Kurtz	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,354	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Bobby Witt Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,032	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Pete Alonso win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Pete Alonso	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	1,003	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Gunnar Henderson win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Gunnar Henderson	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	848	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Byron Buxton win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Byron Buxton	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	430	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mike Trout win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Mike Trout	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	318	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Julio Rodríguez win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Julio Rodríguez	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	214	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Roman Anthony win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Roman Anthony	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	58	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Wyatt Langford win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Wyatt Langford	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	33	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brent Rooker win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Brent Rooker	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	17	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will José Ramírez win AL Hank Aaron Award? · José Ramírez	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Zach Neto win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Zach Neto	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Yandy Diaz win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Yandy Diaz	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Trevor Story win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Trevor Story	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Tie/Co-Winners	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Steven Kwan win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Steven Kwan	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Riley Greene win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Riley Greene	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Randy Arozarena win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Randy Arozarena	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Maikel García win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Maikel García	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacob Wilson win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jacob Wilson	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremy Peña win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jeremy Peña	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh Naylor win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Josh Naylor	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jackson Holliday win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jackson Holliday	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jarren Duran win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jarren Duran	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jazz Chisholm Jr.	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jose Altuve win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jose Altuve	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jo Adell win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Jo Adell	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will George Springer win AL Hank Aaron Award? · George Springer	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Daulton Varsho win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Daulton Varsho	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Corey Seager win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Corey Seager	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Colson Montgomery win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Colson Montgomery	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Carlos Correa win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Carlos Correa	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cody Bellinger win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Cody Bellinger	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Adley Rutschman win AL Hank Aaron Award? · Adley Rutschman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 41 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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