What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year on Kalshi

If Brayan Bello wins the Pro Baseball American League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Louis Varland win AL Reliever of the Year · Louis Varland	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	15%	33,397	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Cade Smith win AL Reliever of the Year? · Cade Smith	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	22,847	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Aroldis Chapman win AL Reliever of the Year? · Aroldis Chapman	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	9,330	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bryan Baker win AL Reliever of the Year? · Bryan Baker	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,328	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Josh Hader win AL Reliever of the Year? · Josh Hader	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	5,037	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Andres Muñoz win AL Reliever of the Year? · Andres Muñoz	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	2,577	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL Reliever of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,506	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Grant Taylor win AL Reliever of the Year? · Grant Taylor	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,413	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will David Bednar win AL Reliever of the Year? · David Bednar	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,174	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kenley Jansen win AL Reliever of the Year? · Kenley Jansen	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,125	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Garcia win AL Reliever of the Year? · Robert Garcia	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	814	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ryan Helsley win AL Reliever of the Year? · Ryan Helsley	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	771	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Griffin Jax win AL Reliever of the Year? · Griffin Jax	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	740	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Will Vest win AL Reliever of the Year? · Will Vest	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	591	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bryan Abreu win AL Reliever of the Year? · Bryan Abreu	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	295	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brent Headrick win AL Reliever of the Year? · Brent Headrick	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	197	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Taylor Rogers win AL Reliever of the Year? · Taylor Rogers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeff Hoffman win AL Reliever of the Year? · Jeff Hoffman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Carlos Estevez win AL Reliever of the Year? · Carlos Estevez	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Stephenson win AL Reliever of the Year? · Robert Stephenson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mark Leiter Jr. win AL Reliever of the Year? · Mark Leiter Jr.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kirby Yates win AL Reliever of the Year? · Kirby Yates	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyle Finnegan win AL Reliever of the Year? · Kyle Finnegan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jordan Leasure win AL Reliever of the Year? · Jordan Leasure	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brayan Bello win AL Reliever of the Year? · Brayan Bello	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacob Latz win AL Reliever of the Year? · Jacob Latz	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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