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Pro Baseball National League MVP on Kalshi
If Jordan Walker wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 53 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP? · Pete Crow-Armstrong | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,548,874 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP? · Shohei Ohtani | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,389,159 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt Olson win NL MVP? · Matt Olson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 202,992 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL MVP? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 177,336 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Juan Soto win NL MVP? · Juan Soto | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 162,419 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Wood win NL MVP? · James Wood | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 156,799 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brice Turang win NL MVP? · Brice Turang | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 132,568 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP? · Kyle Schwarber | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 120,504 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elly De La Cruz win NL MVP? · Elly De La Cruz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 101,765 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan Walker win NL MVP · Jordan Walker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 86,054 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win NL MVP? · Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 81,263 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win NL MVP? · Ronald Acuña Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 66,594 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paul Skenes win NL MVP? · Paul Skenes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 57,995 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Corbin Carroll win NL MVP? · Corbin Carroll | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 51,765 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jackson Chourio win NL MVP? · Jackson Chourio | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50,192 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Harris II win NL MVP? · Michael Harris II | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 47,587 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryce Harper win NL MVP? · Bryce Harper | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,758 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oneil Cruz win NL MVP? · Oneil Cruz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 26,080 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luis Robert Jr. win NL MVP? · Luis Robert Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,333 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Tucker win NL MVP? · Kyle Tucker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,881 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Bregman win NL MVP? · Alex Bregman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,238 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Geraldo Perdomo win NL MVP? · Geraldo Perdomo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,561 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake Baldwin win NL MVP · Drake Baldwin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,272 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jackson Merrill win NL MVP? · Jackson Merrill | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,620 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian Yelich win NL MVP? · Christian Yelich | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,356 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bo Bichette win NL MVP? · Bo Bichette | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,194 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Max Muncy win NL MVP? · Max Muncy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,514 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Busch win NL MVP? · Michael Busch | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,385 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Freddie Freeman win NL MVP? · Freddie Freeman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,174 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ketel Marte win NL MVP? · Ketel Marte | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,105 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nico Hoerner win NL MVP · Nico Hoerner | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,939 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win NL MVP? · Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,773 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rafael Devers win NL MVP? · Rafael Devers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,923 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Willy Adames win NL MVP? · Willy Adames | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,115 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mookie Betts win NL MVP? · Mookie Betts | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,452 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Francisco Lindor win NL MVP? · Francisco Lindor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,512 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ian Happ win NL MVP? · Ian Happ | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,446 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will Smith win NL MVP? · Will Smith | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,777 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ozzie Albies win NL MVP? · Ozzie Albies | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 751 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mickey Moniak win NL MVP · Mickey Moniak | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 674 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 53 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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