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Pro Baseball National League MVP on Kalshi

If Jordan Walker wins the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 53 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL MVP? · Pete Crow-Armstrong100¢100%0.0¢—1%1,548,874Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP? · Shohei Ohtani0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,389,159Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Matt Olson win NL MVP? · Matt Olson0¢0%0.0¢—1%202,992Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL MVP? · Tie/Co-Winners0¢0%0.0¢—1%177,336Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Juan Soto win NL MVP? · Juan Soto0¢0%0.0¢—1%162,419Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will James Wood win NL MVP? · James Wood0¢0%0.0¢—1%156,799Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brice Turang win NL MVP? · Brice Turang0¢0%0.0¢—1%132,568Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyle Schwarber win NL MVP? · Kyle Schwarber0¢0%0.0¢—1%120,504Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Elly De La Cruz win NL MVP? · Elly De La Cruz0¢0%0.0¢—1%101,765Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jordan Walker win NL MVP · Jordan Walker0¢0%0.0¢—1%86,054Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win NL MVP? · Fernando Tatis Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%81,263Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win NL MVP? · Ronald Acuña Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%66,594Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Paul Skenes win NL MVP? · Paul Skenes0¢0%0.0¢—1%57,995Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Corbin Carroll win NL MVP? · Corbin Carroll0¢0%0.0¢—1%51,765Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jackson Chourio win NL MVP? · Jackson Chourio0¢0%0.0¢—1%50,192Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Harris II win NL MVP? · Michael Harris II0¢0%0.0¢—1%47,587Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bryce Harper win NL MVP? · Bryce Harper0¢0%0.0¢—1%46,758Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Oneil Cruz win NL MVP? · Oneil Cruz0¢0%0.0¢—1%26,080Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Luis Robert Jr. win NL MVP? · Luis Robert Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%19,333Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyle Tucker win NL MVP? · Kyle Tucker0¢0%0.0¢—1%16,881Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Alex Bregman win NL MVP? · Alex Bregman0¢0%0.0¢—1%16,238Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Geraldo Perdomo win NL MVP? · Geraldo Perdomo0¢0%0.0¢—1%12,561Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Drake Baldwin win NL MVP · Drake Baldwin0¢0%0.0¢—1%10,272Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jackson Merrill win NL MVP? · Jackson Merrill0¢0%0.0¢—1%9,620Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Christian Yelich win NL MVP? · Christian Yelich0¢0%0.0¢—1%9,356Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bo Bichette win NL MVP? · Bo Bichette0¢0%0.0¢—1%8,194Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Max Muncy win NL MVP? · Max Muncy0¢0%0.0¢—1%7,514Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Busch win NL MVP? · Michael Busch0¢0%0.0¢—1%7,385Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Freddie Freeman win NL MVP? · Freddie Freeman0¢0%0.0¢—1%7,174Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ketel Marte win NL MVP? · Ketel Marte0¢0%0.0¢—1%6,105Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nico Hoerner win NL MVP · Nico Hoerner0¢0%0.0¢—1%5,939Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win NL MVP? · Yoshinobu Yamamoto0¢0%0.0¢—1%5,773Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Rafael Devers win NL MVP? · Rafael Devers0¢0%0.0¢—1%4,923Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Willy Adames win NL MVP? · Willy Adames0¢0%0.0¢—1%4,115Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mookie Betts win NL MVP? · Mookie Betts0¢0%0.0¢—1%3,452Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Francisco Lindor win NL MVP? · Francisco Lindor0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,512Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ian Happ win NL MVP? · Ian Happ0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,446Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Will Smith win NL MVP? · Will Smith0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,777Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ozzie Albies win NL MVP? · Ozzie Albies0¢0%0.0¢—1%751Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mickey Moniak win NL MVP · Mickey Moniak0¢0%0.0¢—1%674Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 53 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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