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Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year on Kalshi

If Tanner Scott wins the Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)0.1¢$3.432.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Mason Miller win NL Reliever of the Year? · Mason Miller98¢98%0.2¢—5%30,391Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jhoan Duran win NL Reliever of the Year? · Jhoan Duran0¢0%0.0¢—1%5,919Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Trevor Megill win NL Reliever of the Year? · Trevor Megill0¢0%0.0¢—1%4,233Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Abner Uribe win NL Reliever of the Year? · Abner Uribe1¢1%0.1¢—2%2,904Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Edwin Díaz win NL Reliever of the Year? · Edwin Díaz1¢1%0.1¢—2%2,755Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Robert Suarez win NL Reliever of the Year? · Robert Suarez2¢2%0.1¢—4%2,504Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Riley O’Brien win NL Reliever of the Year? · Riley O’Brien2¢2%0.1¢—4%1,882Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Daniel Palencia win NL Reliever of the Year? · Daniel Palencia2¢2%0.1¢—4%1,505Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Raisel Iglesias win NL Reliever of the Year? · Raisel Iglesias2¢2%0.1¢—4%794Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Devin Williams win NL Reliever of the Year? · Devin Williams2¢2%0.1¢—4%540Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tanner Scott win NL Reliever of the Year? · Tanner Scott2¢2%0.1¢—4%33Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Dennis Santana win NL Reliever of the Year? · Dennis Santana2¢2%0.1¢—4%31Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Gregory Soto win NL Reliever of the Year? · Gregory Soto2¢2%0.1¢—4%26Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL Reliever of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners2¢2%0.1¢—4%21Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ryan Walker win NL Reliever of the Year? · Ryan Walker2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Pete Fairbanks win NL Reliever of the Year? · Pete Fairbanks2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kevin Ginkel win NL Reliever of the Year? · Kevin Ginkel2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jeremiah Estrada win NL Reliever of the Year? · Jeremiah Estrada2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Emilio Pagán win NL Reliever of the Year? · Emilio Pagán2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Clayton Beeter win NL Reliever of the Year? · Clayton Beeter2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Adrian Morejon win NL Reliever of the Year? · Adrian Morejon2¢2%0.1¢—4%1Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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