Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Monday Annual KPI on Kalshi
If monday.com Ltd. reports Above 117% net dollar retention rate for the $100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
7%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 112% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 112% | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 210 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 114% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 114% | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 205 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 113% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 113% | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 205 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 111% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 111% | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 205 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 117% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 117% | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 116% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 116% | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
| Will monday.com Ltd. report Above 115% net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026? · Above 115% | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | May 09, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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