Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Democratic Party of Mongolia presidential nomination winner on Kalshi
If Sainkhüügiin Ganbaatar wins the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Democratic Party of Mongolia.
Market says (typical open contract)
11%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
22% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.12 | 11.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sainkhüügiin Ganbaatar win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Sainkhüügiin Ganbaatar | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sangajaviin Bayartsogt win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Sangajaviin Bayartsogt | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Odongiin Tsogtgerel win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Odongiin Tsogtgerel | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Norovyn Altankhuyag win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Norovyn Altankhuyag | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Luvsannyamyn Gantömör win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Luvsannyamyn Gantömör | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Khishigdembereliin Temüüjin win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Khishigdembereliin Temüüjin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dashdondogiin Ganbat win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Dashdondogiin Ganbat | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bökhchuluuny Pürevdorj win the Democratic Party of Mongolia’s nomination for the 2027 Mongolian presidential election? · Bökhchuluuny Pürevdorj | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | May 31, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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