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Moto GP Teams' World Champion on Kalshi
If Trackhouse Racing wins the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: MotoGP, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aprilia Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Aprilia Racing | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 9,789 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ducati Lenovo Team be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Ducati Lenovo Team | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6,778 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trackhouse Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Trackhouse Racing | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,564 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Pertamina Enduro VR46 Racing Team | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 845 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Red Bull KTM Tech3 be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Red Bull KTM Tech3 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 285 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · BK8 Gresini Racing MotoGP | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 166 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Red Bull KTM Factory Racing be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Red Bull KTM Factory Racing | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 165 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 83 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Prima Pramac Yamaha MotoGP | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will LCR Honda be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · LCR Honda | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Honda HRC Castrol be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion? · Honda HRC Castrol | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50 | Dec 14, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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