What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 78¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 79% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 78%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Larger margin of victory: GA or NC Senate? on Kalshi

If North Carolina Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Georgia US Senate and North Carolina US Senate, including any December 1, 2026 Georgia runoff, as of Dec 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: FiveThirtyEight, Fox News, official state or local election division websites, ABC News, Ballotpedia, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, CBS News, The New York Times, Politico, CNN, NBC News, Bloomberg News, Reuters.

Market says (typical open contract)

78%

Median YES price across 2 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

44% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
78¢ (now)	1.2¢	$0.77	79.2%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Georgia Senate have the largest margin of victory in the Georgia and North Carolina Senate elections? · Georgia Senate	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	29%	15,225	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will North Carolina Senate have the largest margin of victory in the Georgia and North Carolina Senate elections? · North Carolina Senate	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	13,036	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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