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Nasdaq range on Kalshi
If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on November 10, 2026 is above 28299.9900, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: For example, Google Finance.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 60 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 25200 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,199.99 or below | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 416 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 27999.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 28,000 or above | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 28 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27800 and 27899.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,800 to 27,899.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 28 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 28299.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 28,300 or above | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 25500 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,499.99 or below | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28200 and 28299.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 28,200 to 28,299.99 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28100 and 28199.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 28,100 to 28,199.99 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28000 and 28099.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 28,000 to 28,099.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27900 and 27999.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,900 to 27,999.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27800 and 27899.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,800 to 27,899.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27700 and 27799.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,700 to 27,799.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27600 and 27699.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,600 to 27,699.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27500 and 27599.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,500 to 27,599.99 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27400 and 27499.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,400 to 27,499.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27300 and 27399.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,300 to 27,399.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27200 and 27299.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,200 to 27,299.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27100 and 27199.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,100 to 27,199.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27000 and 27099.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,000 to 27,099.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26900 and 26999.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,900 to 26,999.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26800 and 26899.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,800 to 26,899.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26700 and 26799.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,700 to 26,799.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26600 and 26699.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,600 to 26,699.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26500 and 26599.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,500 to 26,599.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26400 and 26499.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,400 to 26,499.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26300 and 26399.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,300 to 26,399.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26200 and 26299.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,200 to 26,299.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26100 and 26199.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,100 to 26,199.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 26000 and 26099.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 26,000 to 26,099.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 25900 and 25999.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,900 to 25,999.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 25800 and 25899.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,800 to 25,899.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 25700 and 25799.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,700 to 25,799.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 25600 and 25699.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,600 to 25,699.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 25500 and 25599.9900 at the end of Nov 10, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 25,500 to 25,599.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27900 and 27999.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,900 to 27,999.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27700 and 27799.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,700 to 27,799.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27600 and 27699.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,600 to 27,699.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27500 and 27599.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,500 to 27,599.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27400 and 27499.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,400 to 27,499.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27300 and 27399.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,300 to 27,399.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 27200 and 27299.9900 at the end of Nov 13, 2026 at 4pm EST? · 27,200 to 27,299.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 13, 21:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 60 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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