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NBA All-Defensive 1st Team on Kalshi
If Zach Edey is selected to the All-Defensive First Team in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 41 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Amen Thompson · Amen Thompson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,722 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Ausar Thompson · Ausar Thompson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,236 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Chet Holmgren · Chet Holmgren | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,160 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: OG Anunoby · OG Anunoby | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 676 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Bam Adebayo · Bam Adebayo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 597 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Alex Caruso · Alex Caruso | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 504 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jaden McDaniels · Jaden McDaniels | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 241 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 156 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Anthony Davis · Anthony Davis | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 53 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Cooper Flagg · Cooper Flagg | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 16 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Toumani Camara · Toumani Camara | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Zach Edey · Zach Edey | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Walker Kessler · Walker Kessler | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Stephon Castle · Stephon Castle | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Scottie Barnes · Scottie Barnes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Rudy Gobert · Rudy Gobert | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Peyton Watson · Peyton Watson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Onyeka Okongwu · Onyeka Okongwu | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Nic Claxton · Nic Claxton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Nickeil Alexander-Walker · Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Luguentz Dort · Luguentz Dort | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Kris Dunn · Kris Dunn | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jalen Suggs · Jalen Suggs | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jaren Jackson Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jrue Holiday · Jrue Holiday | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Jarrett Allen · Jarrett Allen | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Ivica Zubac · Ivica Zubac | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Isaiah Hartenstein · Isaiah Hartenstein | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Herbert Jones · Herbert Jones | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Evan Mobley · Evan Mobley | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Derrick White · Derrick White | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Draymond Green · Draymond Green | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Dyson Daniels · Dyson Daniels | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Donovan Clingan · Donovan Clingan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Dillon Brooks · Dillon Brooks | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| All-Defensive First Team Selection: Cason Wallace · Cason Wallace | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 41 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.