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NBA Player Triple Double on Kalshi
If VJ Edgecombe records a triple double in the Boston vs Philadelphia Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Triple Double · Yaxel Lendeborg | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 11,692 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Draymond Green: Triple Double · Draymond Green | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 8,784 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Dejounte Murray: Triple Double · Dejounte Murray | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,313 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Brandin Podziemski: Triple Double · Brandin Podziemski | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 467 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| VJ Edgecombe: Triple Double · VJ Edgecombe | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Maxey: Triple Double · Tyrese Maxey | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| LeBron James: Triple Double · LeBron James | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid: Triple Double · Joel Embiid | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Brown: Triple Double · Jaylen Brown | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Paul George: Triple Double · Paul George | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum: Triple Double · Jayson Tatum | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Derrick White: Triple Double · Derrick White | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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