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NBA Cup Tournament MVP on Kalshi
If Zion Williamson wins the Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 75 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Alperen Sengun · Alperen Sengun | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 3,354 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Stephen Curry · Stephen Curry | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,678 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,643 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 782 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Kevin Durant · Kevin Durant | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 620 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Amen Thompson · Amen Thompson | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 555 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Cooper Flagg · Cooper Flagg | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 538 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Tyrese Maxey · Tyrese Maxey | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 397 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 262 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 218 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 191 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Karl-Anthony Towns · Karl-Anthony Towns | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 164 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Jalen Brunson · Jalen Brunson | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 22 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 8 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Kawhi Leonard · Kawhi Leonard | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 7 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: LeBron James · LeBron James | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 5 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Cade Cunningham · Cade Cunningham | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 4 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Zion Williamson · Zion Williamson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: VJ Edgecombe · VJ Edgecombe | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Trae Young · Trae Young | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Tyrese Haliburton · Tyrese Haliburton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Stephon Castle · Stephon Castle | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Scottie Barnes · Scottie Barnes | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: RJ Barrett · RJ Barrett | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Pascal Siakam · Pascal Siakam | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Payton Pritchard · Payton Pritchard | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Paul George · Paul George | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Paolo Banchero · Paolo Banchero | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: OG Anunoby · OG Anunoby | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Nickeil Alexander-Walker · Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Mikal Bridges · Mikal Bridges | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Lauri Markkanen · Lauri Markkanen | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: LaMelo Ball · LaMelo Ball | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Kristaps Porziņģis · Kristaps Porziņģis | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Kon Knueppel · Kon Knueppel | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Kyrie Irving · Kyrie Irving | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Keyonte George · Keyonte George | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Tournament MVP: Jamal Murray · Jamal Murray | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Feb 18, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 75 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.