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Pro Basketball Cup Qualifiers on Kalshi
If Washington qualify for the Finals of the Emirates 2026 Pro Basketball Cup in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
7%
Median YES price across 60 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Oklahoma City | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 1,344 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Golden State | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,161 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Washington | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,030 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Sacramento | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,000 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boston qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Boston | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 794 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Detroit | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 749 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · San Antonio | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 630 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Memphis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 595 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Philadelphia | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 510 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Golden State qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Golden State | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 378 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Antonio qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · San Antonio | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 326 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boston qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Boston | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 293 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Los Angeles L | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 276 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Minnesota | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 237 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Houston | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 228 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Houston | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 227 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Dallas | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 225 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Detroit | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 220 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles L qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Los Angeles L | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 198 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Philadelphia | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 197 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Minnesota | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 138 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma City qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Oklahoma City | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 126 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Dallas | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 113 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Utah | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 82 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · New Orleans | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 62 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Denver | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 28 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Cleveland | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 24 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Atlanta | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 23 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · New York | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 22 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Cleveland | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 15 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Orlando | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 10 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Knockout Rounds in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Charlotte | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 3 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Washington | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Toronto qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Toronto | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Sacramento | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Portland qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Portland | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Phoenix qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Phoenix | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · Orlando | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · New York | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans qualify for the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season? · New Orleans | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 60 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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