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Pro Basketball Game Specials on Kalshi
If any player records 15+ steals and blocks combined in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any player record 15+ offensive rebounds in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 15+ offensive rebounds in a game | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 130 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 60+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 60+ points in a game | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 35 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 55+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 55+ points in a game | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 24 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 15+ steals and blocks combined in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 15+ steals and blocks combined in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 8+ steals in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 8+ steals in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 5+ steals and 5+ blocks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 5+ steals and 5+ blocks in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 10+ steals in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 10+ steals in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 30+ rebounds in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 30+ rebounds in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 25+ rebounds in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 25+ rebounds in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 25+ points in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 25+ points in a single quarter | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 20+ points in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 20+ points in a single quarter | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 5+ three pointers in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 5+ three pointers in a single quarter | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 80+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 80+ points in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 70+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 70+ points in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 65+ points in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 65+ points in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 5+ points, 5+ rebounds, 5+ assists, 5+ steals, and 5+ blocks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 5+ points, 5+ rebounds, 5+ assists, 5+ steals, and 5+ blocks in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 50+ points and a triple-double in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 50+ points and a triple-double in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 40+ points and a triple-double in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 40+ points and a triple-double in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 10+ blocks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 10+ blocks in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 25+ assists in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 25+ assists in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 20+ assists in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 20+ assists in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 15+ assists and 0 turnovers in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 15+ assists and 0 turnovers in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 14+ three pointers in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 14+ three pointers in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 12+ three pointers in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 12+ three pointers in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 10+ three pointers in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season? · Any player to record 10+ three pointers in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.