Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NBA Matchup on Kalshi
If Washington vs Utah is confirmed to be the matchup in the Pro Basketball Cup Finals in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 660 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs San Antonio · Philadelphia vs San Antonio | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 20,455 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Oklahoma City · Philadelphia vs Oklahoma City | 5¢ | 5% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 16,885 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Minnesota · Philadelphia vs Minnesota | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 12,598 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Golden State · Philadelphia vs Golden State | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 12,085 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Los Angeles L · Philadelphia vs Los Angeles L | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 9,415 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Portland · Philadelphia vs Portland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 8,144 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Houston · Philadelphia vs Houston | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 7,580 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Miami vs San Antonio · Miami vs San Antonio | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 5,306 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs San Antonio · Indiana vs San Antonio | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,636 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs San Antonio · Boston vs San Antonio | 7¢ | 7% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 4,603 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Toronto vs Oklahoma City · Toronto vs Oklahoma City | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,517 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Oklahoma City · Indiana vs Oklahoma City | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 4,250 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Detroit vs Houston · Detroit vs Houston | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,663 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Minnesota · Indiana vs Minnesota | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,573 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Washington vs Denver · Washington vs Denver | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,368 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Minnesota · New York vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,299 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs Los Angeles L · Boston vs Los Angeles L | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 2,265 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Memphis · Philadelphia vs Memphis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,896 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Oklahoma City · New York vs Oklahoma City | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,885 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Washington vs Minnesota · Washington vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,878 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs Dallas · Boston vs Dallas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,734 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Toronto vs San Antonio · Toronto vs San Antonio | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,623 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Charlotte vs Dallas · Charlotte vs Dallas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,584 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs San Antonio · New York vs San Antonio | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,488 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs Minnesota · Boston vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,488 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Western Conference Finals Matchup: Oklahoma City vs San Antonio · Oklahoma City vs San Antonio | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,479 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Toronto vs Minnesota · Toronto vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,406 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Miami vs Minnesota · Miami vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,400 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Charlotte vs Oklahoma City · Charlotte vs Oklahoma City | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,336 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Charlotte vs Memphis · Charlotte vs Memphis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,336 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Golden State · Indiana vs Golden State | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,335 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Detroit vs Minnesota · Detroit vs Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,293 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs Portland · Boston vs Portland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,110 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Cup Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs San Antonio · Philadelphia vs San Antonio | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,046 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Finals Matchup: New York vs Philadelphia · New York vs Philadelphia | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 995 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Philadelphia vs Denver · Philadelphia vs Denver | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 958 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Boston vs Houston · Boston vs Houston | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 943 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Portland · Indiana vs Portland | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 935 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Detroit vs San Antonio · Detroit vs San Antonio | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 926 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Atlanta vs Golden State · Atlanta vs Golden State | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 916 | Jun 27, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 660 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.