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NBA Sixth Man of the Year on Kalshi
If Andre Drummond wins the Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 86 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared McCain win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Jared McCain | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 86,171 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jrue Holiday win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Jrue Holiday | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 72,464 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Payton Pritchard win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Payton Pritchard | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 68,360 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Ayo Dosunmu · Ayo Dosunmu | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 49,028 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Reed Sheppard win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Reed Sheppard | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 28,235 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tari Eason win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Tari Eason | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 26,559 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Obi Toppin win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Obi Toppin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 24,158 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Wiggins win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Aaron Wiggins | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 24,064 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dylan Harper win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Dylan Harper | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 23,641 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Anfernee Simons win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Anfernee Simons | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 22,457 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ace Bailey win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Ace Bailey | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 22,285 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Pelle Larsson · Pelle Larsson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 21,702 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Scoot Henderson win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Scoot Henderson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,896 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Black win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Anthony Black | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,099 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Grayson Allen win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Grayson Allen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 15,014 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ajay Mitchell win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Ajay Mitchell | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 14,768 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Terrence Shannon Jr. win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Terrence Shannon Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,252 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jaylon Tyson win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Jaylon Tyson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,582 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Julian Champagnie · Julian Champagnie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,697 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Collin Sexton win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Collin Sexton | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,600 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bobby Portis win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Bobby Portis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,507 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Tre Johnson · Tre Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,388 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Daniss Jenkins win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Daniss Jenkins | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 5,227 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Donte DiVincenzo win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Donte DiVincenzo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,944 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jerami Grant win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Jerami Grant | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,210 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Quentin Grimes win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Quentin Grimes | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,055 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Ron Holland II · Ron Holland II | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,926 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Sandro Mamukelashvili · Sandro Mamukelashvili | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,926 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cason Wallace win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Cason Wallace | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,668 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Santi Aldama win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Santi Aldama | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,583 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Merrill win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Sam Merrill | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,561 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brook Lopez win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Brook Lopez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,480 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bennedict Mathurin win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Bennedict Mathurin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,430 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Isaiah Joe win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Isaiah Joe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,316 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Keldon Johnson win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Keldon Johnson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,131 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year: Collin Gillespie · Collin Gillespie | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,478 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Hugo González win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Hugo González | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,418 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tim Hardaway Jr. win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Tim Hardaway Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 984 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Miles McBride win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Miles McBride | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 815 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mitchell Robinson win Sixth Man of the Year in the 2026-27 season? · Mitchell Robinson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 749 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 86 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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