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Pro Basketball Win Totals on Kalshi
If the Utah Pro Basketball team wins at least 60 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
54%
Median YES price across 312 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
93% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 54¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.61 | 55.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Utah Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 214,183 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 50+ wins | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 131,696 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 110,668 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 45+ wins | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 94,490 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 50+ wins | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 84,983 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 73,710 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least 55 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 55+ wins | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 72,814 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Sacramento Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 25+ wins | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 65,710 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 63,258 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles L Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 50+ wins | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 62,980 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Dallas Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 59,488 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Dallas Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 56,786 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota Pro Basketball team win at least 55 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 55+ wins | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 43,791 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Milwaukee Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 43,108 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 50+ wins | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 41,244 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Sacramento Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 20+ wins | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 36,670 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 33,101 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 45+ wins | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 32,330 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles C Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 32,181 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Brooklyn Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 25+ wins | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 31,786 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Golden State Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 28,678 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Portland Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 45+ wins | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 28,238 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Brooklyn Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 28,015 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Memphis Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 27,798 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Sacramento Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 27,759 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Boston Pro Basketball team record at least 55 wins in the 2026-27 regular season? · 55+ wins | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 27,091 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma City Pro Basketball team win at least 60 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 60+ wins | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 26,665 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Pro Basketball team win at least 60 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 60+ wins | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 26,661 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles L Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 45+ wins | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 26,269 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Charlotte Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 25,579 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the San Antonio Pro Basketball team win at least 65 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 65+ wins | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 24,992 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles C Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 24,752 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana Pro Basketball team win at least 45 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 45+ wins | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 24,408 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston Pro Basketball team win at least 55 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 55+ wins | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 23,026 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Memphis Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 22,824 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Phoenix Pro Basketball team win at least 40 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 40+ wins | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 22,638 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah Pro Basketball team win at least 50 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 50+ wins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 22,333 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New Orleans Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 30+ wins | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 22,090 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Sacramento Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 35+ wins | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 21,907 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Brooklyn Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games in the 2026-27 regular season? · 20+ wins | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 20,696 | May 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 312 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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