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Brazil NBB Basketball Game on Kalshi
If Unifacisa wins the Unifacisa vs Minas Tenis Clube MG men's professional NBB Brazil basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026 at 5:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Basketball24, 365 Scores, Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
61%
Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
78% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 61¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.37 | 62.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unifacisa wins · Unifacisa | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| Minas Tenis Clube MG wins · Minas Tenis Clube MG | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| Franca BC wins · Franca BC | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Flamengo RJ wins · Flamengo RJ | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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