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College Football AP Rank Anytime in Season on Kalshi
If the UCLA college football team is ranked top 3 on the AP Top 25 College Football Poll during any week of the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: AP College Football Rankings.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 186 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tennessee college football team be ranked top 3 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,342 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · South Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,401 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU college football team be ranked top 3 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · LSU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,235 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Notre Dame college football team be ranked #1 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Notre Dame | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,159 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Florida St. college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Florida St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 889 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Oregon college football team be ranked #1 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Oregon | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 635 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the North Carolina college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 603 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Purdue college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Purdue | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 600 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas A&M college football team be ranked top 3 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Texas A&M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 353 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Baylor college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Baylor | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 350 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana college football team be ranked top 3 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 336 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Kansas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 325 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Duke college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Duke | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 325 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas St. college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Kansas St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 323 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Cincinnati | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 322 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Syracuse college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Syracuse | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 320 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 319 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Texas Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 316 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Clemson college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Clemson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 314 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Arkansas college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Arkansas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 300 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Illinois college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Illinois | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 296 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Northwestern college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Northwestern | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 296 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 294 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Nebraska college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Nebraska | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 293 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the James Madison college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · James Madison | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 292 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Iowa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 292 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Alabama college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Alabama | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 292 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona St. college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Arizona St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 291 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Georgia Tech college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Georgia Tech | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 289 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the East Carolina college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · East Carolina | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 289 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Boise St. college football team be ranked top 10 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Boise St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 274 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana college football team be ranked #1 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 231 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Pittsburgh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 228 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the UCF college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · UCF | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 224 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Navy college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Navy | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 218 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Iowa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 218 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 216 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Penn St. college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Penn St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 214 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 212 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the SMU college football team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · SMU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 212 | Feb 14, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 186 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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