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Big Ten Champion on Kalshi
If Wisconsin wins the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UCLA win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · UCLA | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 270,713 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Nebraska win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Nebraska | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 237,469 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Northwestern win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Northwestern | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 229,176 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Iowa win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Iowa | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 197,983 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Ohio State win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Ohio St. | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 187,351 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Michigan win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Michigan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 161,174 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Indiana win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Indiana | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 144,065 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Oregon win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Oregon | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 135,218 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will USC win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · USC | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 113,408 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Wisconsin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 79,438 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Penn State win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Penn St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 78,387 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Minnesota win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Minnesota | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,337 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Washington win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23,322 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Michigan St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 13,046 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Illinois win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Illinois | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,342 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Maryland win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Maryland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,674 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Purdue win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Purdue | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,309 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
| Will Rutgers win the College Football Big Ten Championship? · Rutgers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,270 | Jan 03, 04:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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